SOC 25-2032

Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary AI displacement risk

As AI pushes students toward hands-on careers, the teachers who instruct welding, healthcare, culinary, and IT pathways become more strategic, not less. Shop and lab instruction, safety supervision, and industry placement are irreducibly physical and relational.

Exposure34

Share and intensity of work current AI systems can materially affect.

Automation12%

Likely potential for exposed tasks to move to software after workflow integration.

Risk bandLow

The AI era strengthens the case for CTE: schools need instructors with real trade experience, and they are hard to recruit. Classroom content automates at the margins; supervising a shop full of teenagers with power tools does not.

Distribution

Where Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary sits across 620 tracked roles

Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary · 20050100

Displacement pressure 20 — higher than 23% of the 620 occupations tracked on displacement.ai.

Score version

This page uses Seed model v0.4 (seed-v0.4-2026-05), last reviewed 2026-08-08. Directional occupation-level planning model using hand-reviewed public research, task exposure estimates, wage context, and transition-pathway assumptions.

30 O*NET task statements matched to SOC 25-2032. The displayed task profile combines these official task statements with the current public score model.

Median wage context: $66,270 (May 2025, US national). The latest BLS row matched SOC 25-2032.

Scores are planning signals, not forecasts. Local hiring demand, employer-specific workflows, licensing, and credentials must be validated before making career decisions.

2030 economic stress test

How Anthropic's scenarios classify Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary

SOC 25-2032 places this role in the paper's cognitive occupation group. These group-level outcomes do not change the 20/100 role score and are not an occupation forecast.

Modest change

+0.4% group wage

-0.5% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 2.9% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +1.6% GDP and 3.9% unemployment.

Substantial change

-0.3% group wage

-3.9% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 4.5% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +8.3% GDP and 4.6% unemployment.

Extreme change

-11.5% group wage

-21.5% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 17.9% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +32.4% GDP and 11.9% unemployment.

Compare the assumptions and limitations across all three scenarios. Source: The Anthropic Institute Working Paper No. 2026-02.

Official task evidence

O*NET task matches for Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary

The current evidence import matched 30 task statements from Task Statements 31.0 (August 2026). These rows are used as a grounding layer for judging which parts of the occupation are repeatable, language-heavy, analytical, social, physical, or compliance-sensitive.

Dataset31.0 (August 2026)
Matched tasks30
SOC25-2032
  • Core task / ID 6673

    Instruct students individually and in groups, using various teaching methods, such as lectures, discussions, and demonstrations.

  • Core task / ID 6674

    Establish and enforce rules for behavior and procedures for maintaining order among students.

  • Core task / ID 6671

    Prepare materials and classroom for class activities.

  • Core task / ID 6675

    Observe and evaluate students' performance, behavior, social development, and physical health.

  • Core task / ID 6681

    Instruct students in the knowledge and skills required in a specific occupation or occupational field, using a systematic plan of lectures, discussions, audio-visual presentations, and laboratory, shop, and field studies.

  • Core task / ID 6676

    Instruct and monitor students in the use and care of equipment and materials to prevent injury and damage.

Source: O*NET Resource Center, Task Statements. Raw import target: data/raw/onet/task-statements-31-0.txt.

Task profile

Where AI changes the work

social

Instruct students in occupational skills

Exposure 26, automation 8%, augmentation 48%.

O*NET evidence: Instruct students in the knowledge and skills required in a specific occupation or occu... (ID 6681)

physical

Supervise shop and laboratory work

Exposure 14, automation 3%, augmentation 26%.

O*NET evidence: Plan and supervise work-experience programs in businesses, industrial shops, and school... (ID 6684)

language

Prepare lessons and course materials

Exposure 64, automation 26%, augmentation 74%.

O*NET evidence: Establish clear objectives for all lessons, units, and projects, and communicate those ... (ID 6682)

social

Place students in jobs and work programs

Exposure 30, automation 11%, augmentation 52%.

O*NET evidence: Place students in jobs, or make referrals to job placement services. (ID 6699)

TaskExposureAutomationAugmentation
Instruct students in occupational skills268%48%
Supervise shop and laboratory work143%26%
Prepare lessons and course materials6426%74%
Place students in jobs and work programs3011%52%

Transition pathways

Adjacent moves that preserve existing skills

role redesign

CTE Program Director

Training horizon: 3-8 months. Skill overlap 72. Wage preservation signal 120.

  • Design pathway programs
  • Build employer advisory boards
  • Measure credential outcomes
Low
industry switch

Corporate Technical Trainer

Training horizon: 2-5 months. Skill overlap 66. Wage preservation signal 118.

  • Teach trade skills to adult workers
  • Develop certification curricula
  • Measure training outcomes
Low

Comparison guides

Compare the next move before you commit

What the AI risk score means for Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary

The displacement pressure score for Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary is 20. That score blends task exposure, automation pressure, augmentation potential, wage vulnerability, transition feasibility, and source confidence. It is designed to help workers and workforce teams decide where to act first, not to claim a specific date when a job will disappear.

For this role, the clearest risk pattern is visible at the task level. Prepare lessons and course materials carries 26% automation pressure, while Prepare lessons and course materials carries 74% augmentation potential. That means the best response is usually a targeted redesign of work: move away from repeatable production tasks and toward judgment, exception handling, coordination, stakeholder context, and accountable use of AI tools.

Labor-market context and wage risk

Median wage: $66,270 (May 2025, US national). Employment context: Vocational teaching role with skilled-trades instructor shortages. Typical education: Bachelor's degree plus industry experience and licensure.

Wage vulnerability is 44, while transition feasibility is 68. A high wage-vulnerability score means workers should pay close attention to salary preservation before making a move. A high transition-feasibility score means there are adjacent paths that can reuse existing skills without requiring a complete career reset.

  • Low displacement pressure
  • Skilled-trades demand strengthens CTE
  • Instructor recruitment is the constraint

Upskilling priorities

Skills that make this role more resilient

The safest upskilling plan starts with skills already close to the work. For Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary, the strongest near-term skill priorities are listed below. These are useful whether the goal is to stay in the role, move to a redesigned version of the role, or transition into an adjacent occupation.

Priority 1

Trade expertise

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 2

Shop safety supervision

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 3

Industry partnerships

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 4

Curriculum development

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

90-day transition plan

The most practical next step is not to wait for a layoff or a full role redesign. Use the next 90 days to create evidence that you can operate in a safer, more AI-augmented version of the work.

  1. In the first 30 days, document the repetitive tasks in your current work and identify where AI can reduce drafting, lookup, classification, or reporting time.
  2. By 60 days, complete one small project connected to CTE Program Director, such as design pathway programs.
  3. By 90 days, compare internal openings and external postings for CTE Program Director or Corporate Technical Trainer and update your resume around measurable workflow outcomes.

FAQ

Questions about AI and Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary

Will AI replace Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary?

As AI pushes students toward hands-on careers, the teachers who instruct welding, healthcare, culinary, and IT pathways become more strategic, not less. Shop and lab instruction, safety supervision, and industry placement are irreducibly physical and relational. The better planning signal is not full replacement, but which tasks become automated, which tasks become AI-assisted, and which responsibilities still need human judgment.

Which parts of Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary work are most exposed to AI?

Prepare lessons and course materials and Place students in jobs and work programs show the strongest automation pressure in this model. Prepare lessons and course materials and Place students in jobs and work programs are better treated as AI-augmented work.

What should Career and Technical Education Teachers, Secondary learn next?

Start with Trade expertise, Shop safety supervision, Industry partnerships. The most practical adjacent paths in this model are CTE Program Director and Corporate Technical Trainer.

How should this score be used?

Use it as a planning signal, not a prediction. Confirm local hiring demand, wages, licensing, credentials, and employer adoption before making a career move.

Sources

Evidence trail