SOC 15-1244

Network and Computer Systems Administrators AI displacement risk

Monitoring, routine maintenance, backups, and configuration tasks are being absorbed by cloud services and AI-driven operations tooling. Troubleshooting complex failures, security implementation, and physical infrastructure judgment remain human-led.

Exposure52

Share and intensity of work current AI systems can materially affect.

Automation30%

Likely potential for exposed tasks to move to software after workflow integration.

Risk bandModerate

On-premises-heavy employers keep traditional administration demand longer. Administrators who move up into cloud architecture, automation, or security keep strong prospects.

Distribution

Where Network and Computer Systems Administrators sits across 620 tracked roles

Network and Computer Systems Administrators · 38050100

Displacement pressure 38 — higher than 65% of the 620 occupations tracked on displacement.ai.

Score version

This page uses Seed model v0.4 (seed-v0.4-2026-05), last reviewed 2026-08-08. Directional occupation-level planning model using hand-reviewed public research, task exposure estimates, wage context, and transition-pathway assumptions.

20 O*NET task statements matched to SOC 15-1244. The displayed task profile combines these official task statements with the current public score model.

Median wage context: $99,130 (May 2025, US national). The latest BLS row matched SOC 15-1244.

Scores are planning signals, not forecasts. Local hiring demand, employer-specific workflows, licensing, and credentials must be validated before making career decisions.

2030 economic stress test

How Anthropic's scenarios classify Network and Computer Systems Administrators

SOC 15-1244 places this role in the paper's cognitive occupation group. These group-level outcomes do not change the 38/100 role score and are not an occupation forecast.

Modest change

+0.4% group wage

-0.5% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 2.9% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +1.6% GDP and 3.9% unemployment.

Substantial change

-0.3% group wage

-3.9% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 4.5% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +8.3% GDP and 4.6% unemployment.

Extreme change

-11.5% group wage

-21.5% cognitive employment since mid-2026; 17.9% cognitive unemployment.

Economy-wide: +32.4% GDP and 11.9% unemployment.

Compare the assumptions and limitations across all three scenarios. Source: The Anthropic Institute Working Paper No. 2026-02.

Official task evidence

O*NET task matches for Network and Computer Systems Administrators

The current evidence import matched 20 task statements from Task Statements 31.0 (August 2026). These rows are used as a grounding layer for judging which parts of the occupation are repeatable, language-heavy, analytical, social, physical, or compliance-sensitive.

Dataset31.0 (August 2026)
Matched tasks20
SOC15-1244
  • Core task / ID 1319

    Plan, coordinate, and implement network security measures to protect data, software, and hardware.

  • Core task / ID 1317

    Perform data backups and disaster recovery operations.

  • Core task / ID 15205

    Diagnose, troubleshoot, and resolve hardware, software, or other network and system problems, and replace defective components when necessary.

  • Core task / ID 1318

    Maintain and administer computer networks and related computing environments, including computer hardware, systems software, applications software, and all configurations.

  • Core task / ID 15206

    Configure, monitor, and maintain email applications or virus protection software.

  • Core task / ID 1324

    Confer with network users about solutions to existing system problems.

Source: O*NET Resource Center, Task Statements. Raw import target: data/raw/onet/task-statements-31-0.txt.

Task profile

Where AI changes the work

technical

Monitor network performance

Exposure 58, automation 32%, augmentation 62%.

O*NET evidence: Operate master consoles to monitor the performance of computer systems and networks and... (ID 1320)

technical

Diagnose and resolve system problems

Exposure 44, automation 20%, augmentation 58%.

O*NET evidence: Diagnose, troubleshoot, and resolve hardware, software, or other network and system pro... (ID 15205)

information

Perform backups and recovery operations

Exposure 56, automation 34%, augmentation 52%.

O*NET evidence: Perform data backups and disaster recovery operations. (ID 1317)

compliance

Implement network security measures

Exposure 46, automation 22%, augmentation 60%.

O*NET evidence: Plan, coordinate, and implement network security measures to protect data, software, an... (ID 1319)

TaskExposureAutomationAugmentation
Monitor network performance5832%62%
Diagnose and resolve system problems4420%58%
Perform backups and recovery operations5634%52%
Implement network security measures4622%60%

Transition pathways

Adjacent moves that preserve existing skills

role redesign

Cloud Administrator

Training horizon: 3-6 months. Skill overlap 76. Wage preservation signal 112.

  • Earn a cloud certification
  • Migrate a service end-to-end
  • Automate routine maintenance
Moderate
adjacent role

Site Reliability Engineer

Training horizon: 6-12 months. Skill overlap 66. Wage preservation signal 124.

  • Learn monitoring-as-code
  • Practice incident postmortems
  • Build automation runbooks
Moderate

Comparison guides

Compare the next move before you commit

What the AI risk score means for Network and Computer Systems Administrators

The displacement pressure score for Network and Computer Systems Administrators is 38. That score blends task exposure, automation pressure, augmentation potential, wage vulnerability, transition feasibility, and source confidence. It is designed to help workers and workforce teams decide where to act first, not to claim a specific date when a job will disappear.

For this role, the clearest risk pattern is visible at the task level. Perform backups and recovery operations carries 34% automation pressure, while Monitor network performance carries 62% augmentation potential. That means the best response is usually a targeted redesign of work: move away from repeatable production tasks and toward judgment, exception handling, coordination, stakeholder context, and accountable use of AI tools.

Labor-market context and wage risk

Median wage: $99,130 (May 2025, US national). Employment context: Broad IT operations role reshaped by cloud migration. Typical education: Bachelor's degree common.

Wage vulnerability is 34, while transition feasibility is 70. A high wage-vulnerability score means workers should pay close attention to salary preservation before making a move. A high transition-feasibility score means there are adjacent paths that can reuse existing skills without requiring a complete career reset.

  • Moderate displacement pressure
  • Cloud migration changes the task mix
  • Automation skills raise wages

Upskilling priorities

Skills that make this role more resilient

The safest upskilling plan starts with skills already close to the work. For Network and Computer Systems Administrators, the strongest near-term skill priorities are listed below. These are useful whether the goal is to stay in the role, move to a redesigned version of the role, or transition into an adjacent occupation.

Priority 1

Network troubleshooting

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 2

Cloud administration

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 3

Automation scripting

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 4

Security implementation

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

90-day transition plan

The most practical next step is not to wait for a layoff or a full role redesign. Use the next 90 days to create evidence that you can operate in a safer, more AI-augmented version of the work.

  1. In the first 30 days, document the repetitive tasks in your current work and identify where AI can reduce drafting, lookup, classification, or reporting time.
  2. By 60 days, complete one small project connected to Cloud Administrator, such as earn a cloud certification.
  3. By 90 days, compare internal openings and external postings for Cloud Administrator or Site Reliability Engineer and update your resume around measurable workflow outcomes.

FAQ

Questions about AI and Network and Computer Systems Administrators

Will AI replace Network and Computer Systems Administrators?

Monitoring, routine maintenance, backups, and configuration tasks are being absorbed by cloud services and AI-driven operations tooling. Troubleshooting complex failures, security implementation, and physical infrastructure judgment remain human-led. The better planning signal is not full replacement, but which tasks become automated, which tasks become AI-assisted, and which responsibilities still need human judgment.

Which parts of Network and Computer Systems Administrators work are most exposed to AI?

Perform backups and recovery operations and Monitor network performance show the strongest automation pressure in this model. Monitor network performance and Implement network security measures are better treated as AI-augmented work.

What should Network and Computer Systems Administrators learn next?

Start with Network troubleshooting, Cloud administration, Automation scripting. The most practical adjacent paths in this model are Cloud Administrator and Site Reliability Engineer.

How should this score be used?

Use it as a planning signal, not a prediction. Confirm local hiring demand, wages, licensing, credentials, and employer adoption before making a career move.

Sources

Evidence trail