Share and intensity of work current AI systems can materially affect.
SOC 33-1091
First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers AI displacement risk
Security supervisors schedule guards, investigate disturbances, and monitor officer performance. Camera analytics and remote-monitoring centers now cover more ground with fewer posts, which concentrates the remaining workforce into supervised teams handling verified incidents — and raises the supervisor's span of responsibility.
Likely potential for exposed tasks to move to software after workflow integration.
The trend is fewer guards per site, more technology per guard: supervisors become the human layer over the monitoring stack. Incident investigation, client relationships, and officer conduct remain supervisory duties.
Distribution
Where First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers sits across 620 tracked roles
Displacement pressure 22 — higher than 29% of the 620 occupations tracked on displacement.ai.
Score version
This page uses Seed model v0.4 (seed-v0.4-2026-05), last reviewed 2026-08-15. Directional occupation-level planning model using hand-reviewed public research, task exposure estimates, wage context, and transition-pathway assumptions.
21 O*NET task statements matched to SOC 33-1091. The displayed task profile combines these official task statements with the current public score model.
Median wage context: $55,940 (May 2025, US national). The latest BLS row matched SOC 33-1091.
Scores are planning signals, not forecasts. Local hiring demand, employer-specific workflows, licensing, and credentials must be validated before making career decisions.
2030 economic stress test
How Anthropic's scenarios classify First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers
SOC 33-1091 places this role in the paper's all-other occupation group. These group-level outcomes do not change the 22/100 role score and are not an occupation forecast.
+1.1% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +1.6% GDP and 3.9% unemployment.
+5.9% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +8.3% GDP and 4.6% unemployment.
+33.6% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +32.4% GDP and 11.9% unemployment.
Compare the assumptions and limitations across all three scenarios. Source: The Anthropic Institute Working Paper No. 2026-02.
Official task evidence
O*NET task matches for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers
The current evidence import matched 21 task statements from Task Statements 31.0 (August 2026). These rows are used as a grounding layer for judging which parts of the occupation are repeatable, language-heavy, analytical, social, physical, or compliance-sensitive.
Dataset31.0 (August 2026)
Matched tasks21
SOC33-1091
- Core task / ID 22947
Investigate disturbances on the premises, such as security alarms, altercations, and suspicious activity.
- Core task / ID 22953
Patrol the premises to prevent or detect intrusion, protect property, or preserve order.
- Core task / ID 22949
Monitor and authorize entry of employees, visitors, or other persons.
- Core task / ID 22957
Secure entrances and exits by locking doors and gates.
- Core task / ID 22960
Write reports documenting observations made while on patrol.
- Core task / ID 22951
Monitor the behavior of security employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, deadlines, or procedures.
Source: O*NET Resource Center, Task Statements. Raw import target: data/raw/onet/task-statements-31-0.txt.
Task profile
Where AI changes the work
Investigate disturbances, alarms, and suspicious activity
Exposure 26, automation 11%, augmentation 48%.
O*NET evidence: Investigate disturbances on the premises, such as security alarms, altercations, and su... (ID 22947)
Monitor and authorize entry of employees and visitors
Exposure 34, automation 16%, augmentation 44%.
O*NET evidence: Monitor and authorize entry of employees, visitors, or other persons. (ID 22949)
Monitor security employee behavior and performance
Exposure 30, automation 13%, augmentation 48%.
O*NET evidence: Monitor the behavior of security employees to ensure adherence to quality standards, de... (ID 22951)
Write reports documenting patrol observations
Exposure 52, automation 28%, augmentation 56%.
O*NET evidence: Write reports documenting observations made while on patrol. (ID 22960)
TaskExposureAutomationAugmentation
Investigate disturbances, alarms, and suspicious activity2611%48%
Monitor and authorize entry of employees and visitors3416%44%
Monitor security employee behavior and performance3013%48%
Write reports documenting patrol observations5228%56%
Transition pathways
Adjacent moves that preserve existing skills
role redesign
LowSecurity Operations Manager
Training horizon: 6-12 months. Skill overlap 66. Wage preservation signal 126.
- Own multi-site operations
- Manage monitoring-center integration
- Lead client accounts
credentialed transition
LowCorporate Security Specialist
Training horizon: 12-24 months. Skill overlap 60. Wage preservation signal 120.
- Add risk-assessment skills
- Earn CPP certification
- Serve enterprise security teams
Comparison guides
Compare the next move before you commit
6-12 months
First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers to Security Operations Manager
Compare AI displacement pressure, wage preservation, skill overlap, training time, and first proof project for moving from First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers into Security Operations Manager.
12-24 months
First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers to Corporate Security Specialist
Compare AI displacement pressure, wage preservation, skill overlap, training time, and first proof project for moving from First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers into Corporate Security Specialist.
What the AI risk score means for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers
The displacement pressure score for First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers is 22. That score blends task exposure, automation pressure, augmentation potential, wage vulnerability, transition feasibility, and source confidence. It is designed to help workers and workforce teams decide where to act first, not to claim a specific date when a job will disappear.
For this role, the clearest risk pattern is visible at the task level. Write reports documenting patrol observations carries 28% automation pressure, while Write reports documenting patrol observations carries 56% augmentation potential. That means the best response is usually a targeted redesign of work: move away from repeatable production tasks and toward judgment, exception handling, coordination, stakeholder context, and accountable use of AI tools.
Labor-market context and wage risk
Median wage: $55,940 (May 2025, US national). Employment context: Guard-force supervision as camera analytics compress headcount. Typical education: Security experience plus supervisory training.
Wage vulnerability is 42, while transition feasibility is 64. A high wage-vulnerability score means workers should pay close attention to salary preservation before making a move. A high transition-feasibility score means there are adjacent paths that can reuse existing skills without requiring a complete career reset.
- Low displacement pressure
- Remote monitoring covers more posts
- Verified-incident response stays human
Upskilling priorities
Skills that make this role more resilient
The safest upskilling plan starts with skills already close to the work. For First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers, the strongest near-term skill priorities are listed below. These are useful whether the goal is to stay in the role, move to a redesigned version of the role, or transition into an adjacent occupation.
Security supervision
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Incident investigation
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Access control
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Report writing
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
90-day transition plan
The most practical next step is not to wait for a layoff or a full role redesign. Use the next 90 days to create evidence that you can operate in a safer, more AI-augmented version of the work.
- In the first 30 days, document the repetitive tasks in your current work and identify where AI can reduce drafting, lookup, classification, or reporting time.
- By 60 days, complete one small project connected to Security Operations Manager, such as own multi-site operations.
- By 90 days, compare internal openings and external postings for Security Operations Manager or Corporate Security Specialist and update your resume around measurable workflow outcomes.
FAQ
Questions about AI and First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers
Will AI replace First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers?
Security supervisors schedule guards, investigate disturbances, and monitor officer performance. Camera analytics and remote-monitoring centers now cover more ground with fewer posts, which concentrates the remaining workforce into supervised teams handling verified incidents — and raises the supervisor's span of responsibility. The better planning signal is not full replacement, but which tasks become automated, which tasks become AI-assisted, and which responsibilities still need human judgment.
Which parts of First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers work are most exposed to AI?
Write reports documenting patrol observations and Monitor and authorize entry of employees and visitors show the strongest automation pressure in this model. Write reports documenting patrol observations and Investigate disturbances, alarms, and suspicious activity are better treated as AI-augmented work.
What should First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers learn next?
Start with Security supervision, Incident investigation, Access control. The most practical adjacent paths in this model are Security Operations Manager and Corporate Security Specialist.
How should this score be used?
Use it as a planning signal, not a prediction. Confirm local hiring demand, wages, licensing, credentials, and employer adoption before making a career move.
Sources
Evidence trail
OECD / 11 July 2023OECD Employment Outlook 2023: Artificial Intelligence and the Labour MarketO*NET Resource Center / Database 31.0 (August 2026)Occupation, Task, Skill, and Work-Activity DataUS Bureau of Labor Statistics / May 2025 estimates (released 15 May 2026)Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics