SOC 49-9096

Riggers AI displacement risk

Riggers select gear, attach loads, and direct crane movements for construction, shipyards, and events. Lift-planning software calculates loads and clearances, but the rigger's call — sling angles, load balance, hand signals in the moment — decides whether a lift is safe.

Exposure26

Share and intensity of work current AI systems can materially affect.

Automation10%

Likely potential for exposed tasks to move to software after workflow integration.

Risk bandLow

Every lifted load is a one-off: weight distribution, wind, and site conditions change the physics. Lift software assists the plan; certified riggers own the execution and the stop-work call.

Distribution

Where Riggers sits across 620 tracked roles

Riggers · 12050100

Displacement pressure 12 — higher than 2% of the 620 occupations tracked on displacement.ai.

Score version

This page uses Seed model v0.4 (seed-v0.4-2026-05), last reviewed 2026-08-15. Directional occupation-level planning model using hand-reviewed public research, task exposure estimates, wage context, and transition-pathway assumptions.

14 O*NET task statements matched to SOC 49-9096. The displayed task profile combines these official task statements with the current public score model.

Median wage context: $62,640 (May 2025, US national). The latest BLS row matched SOC 49-9096.

Scores are planning signals, not forecasts. Local hiring demand, employer-specific workflows, licensing, and credentials must be validated before making career decisions.

2030 economic stress test

How Anthropic's scenarios classify Riggers

SOC 49-9096 places this role in the paper's all-other occupation group. These group-level outcomes do not change the 12/100 role score and are not an occupation forecast.

Modest change

+1.1% group wage

Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.

Economy-wide: +1.6% GDP and 3.9% unemployment.

Substantial change

+5.9% group wage

Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.

Economy-wide: +8.3% GDP and 4.6% unemployment.

Extreme change

+33.6% group wage

Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.

Economy-wide: +32.4% GDP and 11.9% unemployment.

Compare the assumptions and limitations across all three scenarios. Source: The Anthropic Institute Working Paper No. 2026-02.

Official task evidence

O*NET task matches for Riggers

The current evidence import matched 14 task statements from Task Statements 31.0 (August 2026). These rows are used as a grounding layer for judging which parts of the occupation are repeatable, language-heavy, analytical, social, physical, or compliance-sensitive.

Dataset31.0 (August 2026)
Matched tasks14
SOC49-9096
  • Core task / ID 13893

    Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability.

  • Core task / ID 13892

    Signal or verbally direct workers engaged in hoisting and moving loads to ensure safety of workers and materials.

  • Core task / ID 13896

    Control movement of heavy equipment through narrow openings or confined spaces, using chainfalls, gin poles, gallows frames, and other equipment.

  • Core task / ID 13897

    Tilt, dip, and turn suspended loads to maneuver over, under, or around obstacles, using multi-point suspension techniques.

  • Core task / ID 13895

    Select gear, such as cables, pulleys, and winches, according to load weights and sizes, facilities, and work schedules.

  • Core task / ID 13902

    Dismantle and store rigging equipment after use.

Source: O*NET Resource Center, Task Statements. Raw import target: data/raw/onet/task-statements-31-0.txt.

Task profile

Where AI changes the work

analytical

Select gear according to load weights and sizes

Exposure 30, automation 12%, augmentation 50%.

O*NET evidence: Select gear, such as cables, pulleys, and winches, according to load weights and sizes,... (ID 13895)

compliance

Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability

Exposure 24, automation 10%, augmentation 46%.

O*NET evidence: Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability. (ID 13893)

social

Signal or direct workers hoisting and moving loads

Exposure 20, automation 8%, augmentation 42%.

O*NET evidence: Signal or verbally direct workers engaged in hoisting and moving loads to ensure safety... (ID 13892)

physical

Control heavy equipment through narrow openings

Exposure 16, automation 6%, augmentation 36%.

O*NET evidence: Control movement of heavy equipment through narrow openings or confined spaces, using c... (ID 13896)

TaskExposureAutomationAugmentation
Select gear according to load weights and sizes3012%50%
Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability2410%46%
Signal or direct workers hoisting and moving loads208%42%
Control heavy equipment through narrow openings166%36%

Transition pathways

Adjacent moves that preserve existing skills

credentialed transition

Lift Director

Training horizon: 12-24 months. Skill overlap 62. Wage preservation signal 126.

  • Earn advanced rigging credentials
  • Own critical-lift plans
  • Lead lift crews
Low
role redesign

Entertainment Rigger

Training horizon: 6-12 months. Skill overlap 60. Wage preservation signal 112.

  • Learn arena and theater systems
  • Serve touring productions
  • Master fall-protection standards
Low

Comparison guides

Compare the next move before you commit

What the AI risk score means for Riggers

The displacement pressure score for Riggers is 12. That score blends task exposure, automation pressure, augmentation potential, wage vulnerability, transition feasibility, and source confidence. It is designed to help workers and workforce teams decide where to act first, not to claim a specific date when a job will disappear.

For this role, the clearest risk pattern is visible at the task level. Select gear according to load weights and sizes carries 12% automation pressure, while Select gear according to load weights and sizes carries 50% augmentation potential. That means the best response is usually a targeted redesign of work: move away from repeatable production tasks and toward judgment, exception handling, coordination, stakeholder context, and accountable use of AI tools.

Labor-market context and wage risk

Median wage: $62,640 (May 2025, US national). Employment context: Load-movement judgment with physics on the hook. Typical education: High school plus rigging apprenticeship or certification.

Wage vulnerability is 36, while transition feasibility is 58. A high wage-vulnerability score means workers should pay close attention to salary preservation before making a move. A high transition-feasibility score means there are adjacent paths that can reuse existing skills without requiring a complete career reset.

  • Low displacement pressure
  • Software plans lifts, riggers own them
  • Every load is a one-off

Upskilling priorities

Skills that make this role more resilient

The safest upskilling plan starts with skills already close to the work. For Riggers, the strongest near-term skill priorities are listed below. These are useful whether the goal is to stay in the role, move to a redesigned version of the role, or transition into an adjacent occupation.

Priority 1

Rigging technique

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 2

Lift planning

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 3

Crane signaling

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

Priority 4

Load safety

Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.

90-day transition plan

The most practical next step is not to wait for a layoff or a full role redesign. Use the next 90 days to create evidence that you can operate in a safer, more AI-augmented version of the work.

  1. In the first 30 days, document the repetitive tasks in your current work and identify where AI can reduce drafting, lookup, classification, or reporting time.
  2. By 60 days, complete one small project connected to Lift Director, such as earn advanced rigging credentials.
  3. By 90 days, compare internal openings and external postings for Lift Director or Entertainment Rigger and update your resume around measurable workflow outcomes.

FAQ

Questions about AI and Riggers

Will AI replace Riggers?

Riggers select gear, attach loads, and direct crane movements for construction, shipyards, and events. Lift-planning software calculates loads and clearances, but the rigger's call — sling angles, load balance, hand signals in the moment — decides whether a lift is safe. The better planning signal is not full replacement, but which tasks become automated, which tasks become AI-assisted, and which responsibilities still need human judgment.

Which parts of Riggers work are most exposed to AI?

Select gear according to load weights and sizes and Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability show the strongest automation pressure in this model. Select gear according to load weights and sizes and Test rigging to ensure safety and reliability are better treated as AI-augmented work.

What should Riggers learn next?

Start with Rigging technique, Lift planning, Crane signaling. The most practical adjacent paths in this model are Lift Director and Entertainment Rigger.

How should this score be used?

Use it as a planning signal, not a prediction. Confirm local hiring demand, wages, licensing, credentials, and employer adoption before making a career move.

Sources

Evidence trail