Share and intensity of work current AI systems can materially affect.
SOC 47-2022
Stonemasons AI displacement risk
Stonemasons cut, set, and finish natural stone for buildings, monuments, and restoration work. CNC saws shape stone in fabrication shops, but setting irregular stone on a real wall — matching grain, bedding each piece, finishing joints by trowel — is craft judgment.
Likely potential for exposed tasks to move to software after workflow integration.
Restoration is the premium niche: matching historic stonework on aging buildings takes skills that take years to build. Shop cutting automates; site setting does not.
Distribution
Where Stonemasons sits across 620 tracked roles
Displacement pressure 14 — higher than 8% of the 620 occupations tracked on displacement.ai.
Score version
This page uses Seed model v0.4 (seed-v0.4-2026-05), last reviewed 2026-08-15. Directional occupation-level planning model using hand-reviewed public research, task exposure estimates, wage context, and transition-pathway assumptions.
16 O*NET task statements matched to SOC 47-2022. The displayed task profile combines these official task statements with the current public score model.
Median wage context: $57,390 (May 2025, US national). The latest BLS row matched SOC 47-2022.
Scores are planning signals, not forecasts. Local hiring demand, employer-specific workflows, licensing, and credentials must be validated before making career decisions.
2030 economic stress test
How Anthropic's scenarios classify Stonemasons
SOC 47-2022 places this role in the paper's all-other occupation group. These group-level outcomes do not change the 14/100 role score and are not an occupation forecast.
+1.1% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +1.6% GDP and 3.9% unemployment.
+5.9% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +8.3% GDP and 4.6% unemployment.
+33.6% group wage
Employment rises and unemployment falls for the all-other group, but the paper does not publish a separate group rate.
Economy-wide: +32.4% GDP and 11.9% unemployment.
Compare the assumptions and limitations across all three scenarios. Source: The Anthropic Institute Working Paper No. 2026-02.
Official task evidence
O*NET task matches for Stonemasons
The current evidence import matched 16 task statements from Task Statements 31.0 (August 2026). These rows are used as a grounding layer for judging which parts of the occupation are repeatable, language-heavy, analytical, social, physical, or compliance-sensitive.
Dataset31.0 (August 2026)
Matched tasks16
SOC47-2022
- Core task / ID 8768
Set vertical and horizontal alignment of structures, using plumb bob, gauge line, and level.
- Core task / ID 8766
Lay out wall patterns or foundations, using straight edge, rule, or staked lines.
- Core task / ID 8771
Set stone or marble in place, according to layout or pattern.
- Core task / ID 8770
Remove wedges, fill joints between stones, finish joints between stones, using a trowel, and smooth the mortar to an attractive finish, using a tuck pointer.
- Core task / ID 8772
Clean excess mortar or grout from surface of marble, stone, or monument, using sponge, brush, water, or acid.
- Core task / ID 8767
Shape, trim, face and cut marble or stone preparatory to setting, using power saws, cutting equipment, and hand tools.
Source: O*NET Resource Center, Task Statements. Raw import target: data/raw/onet/task-statements-31-0.txt.
Task profile
Where AI changes the work
Set stone or marble according to layout or pattern
Exposure 18, automation 7%, augmentation 36%.
O*NET evidence: Set stone or marble in place, according to layout or pattern. (ID 8771)
Shape, trim, and cut stone using saws and hand tools
Exposure 20, automation 9%, augmentation 38%.
O*NET evidence: Shape, trim, face and cut marble or stone preparatory to setting, using power saws, cut... (ID 8767)
Lay out wall patterns or foundations
Exposure 34, automation 15%, augmentation 48%.
O*NET evidence: Lay out wall patterns or foundations, using straight edge, rule, or staked lines. (ID 8766)
Fill and finish joints between stones
Exposure 16, automation 6%, augmentation 32%.
O*NET evidence: Remove wedges, fill joints between stones, finish joints between stones, using a trowel... (ID 8770)
TaskExposureAutomationAugmentation
Set stone or marble according to layout or pattern187%36%
Shape, trim, and cut stone using saws and hand tools209%38%
Lay out wall patterns or foundations3415%48%
Fill and finish joints between stones166%32%
Transition pathways
Adjacent moves that preserve existing skills
credentialed transition
LowStone Restoration Specialist
Training horizon: 12-24 months. Skill overlap 62. Wage preservation signal 122.
- Learn historic mortar analysis
- Serve preservation projects
- Build a restoration portfolio
credentialed transition
LowMasonry Contractor
Training horizon: 12-24 months. Skill overlap 64. Wage preservation signal 132.
- Earn contractor licensing
- Bid stone projects
- Build a crew
Comparison guides
Compare the next move before you commit
12-24 months
Stonemasons to Stone Restoration Specialist
Compare AI displacement pressure, wage preservation, skill overlap, training time, and first proof project for moving from Stonemasons into Stone Restoration Specialist.
12-24 months
Stonemasons to Masonry Contractor
Compare AI displacement pressure, wage preservation, skill overlap, training time, and first proof project for moving from Stonemasons into Masonry Contractor.
What the AI risk score means for Stonemasons
The displacement pressure score for Stonemasons is 14. That score blends task exposure, automation pressure, augmentation potential, wage vulnerability, transition feasibility, and source confidence. It is designed to help workers and workforce teams decide where to act first, not to claim a specific date when a job will disappear.
For this role, the clearest risk pattern is visible at the task level. Lay out wall patterns or foundations carries 15% automation pressure, while Lay out wall patterns or foundations carries 48% augmentation potential. That means the best response is usually a targeted redesign of work: move away from repeatable production tasks and toward judgment, exception handling, coordination, stakeholder context, and accountable use of AI tools.
Labor-market context and wage risk
Median wage: $57,390 (May 2025, US national). Employment context: Natural-stone craft with restoration demand. Typical education: High school plus apprenticeship.
Wage vulnerability is 40, while transition feasibility is 56. A high wage-vulnerability score means workers should pay close attention to salary preservation before making a move. A high transition-feasibility score means there are adjacent paths that can reuse existing skills without requiring a complete career reset.
- Low displacement pressure
- Shop CNC cuts, masons set
- Restoration demand is growing
Upskilling priorities
Skills that make this role more resilient
The safest upskilling plan starts with skills already close to the work. For Stonemasons, the strongest near-term skill priorities are listed below. These are useful whether the goal is to stay in the role, move to a redesigned version of the role, or transition into an adjacent occupation.
Stone masonry technique
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Masonry craftsmanship
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Layout measurement
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
Mortar technique
Build proof of this skill through a work sample, checklist, dashboard, case note, workflow map, or portfolio artifact tied to the transition paths on this page.
90-day transition plan
The most practical next step is not to wait for a layoff or a full role redesign. Use the next 90 days to create evidence that you can operate in a safer, more AI-augmented version of the work.
- In the first 30 days, document the repetitive tasks in your current work and identify where AI can reduce drafting, lookup, classification, or reporting time.
- By 60 days, complete one small project connected to Stone Restoration Specialist, such as learn historic mortar analysis.
- By 90 days, compare internal openings and external postings for Stone Restoration Specialist or Masonry Contractor and update your resume around measurable workflow outcomes.
FAQ
Questions about AI and Stonemasons
Will AI replace Stonemasons?
Stonemasons cut, set, and finish natural stone for buildings, monuments, and restoration work. CNC saws shape stone in fabrication shops, but setting irregular stone on a real wall — matching grain, bedding each piece, finishing joints by trowel — is craft judgment. The better planning signal is not full replacement, but which tasks become automated, which tasks become AI-assisted, and which responsibilities still need human judgment.
Which parts of Stonemasons work are most exposed to AI?
Lay out wall patterns or foundations and Shape, trim, and cut stone using saws and hand tools show the strongest automation pressure in this model. Lay out wall patterns or foundations and Shape, trim, and cut stone using saws and hand tools are better treated as AI-augmented work.
What should Stonemasons learn next?
Start with Stone masonry technique, Masonry craftsmanship, Layout measurement. The most practical adjacent paths in this model are Stone Restoration Specialist and Masonry Contractor.
How should this score be used?
Use it as a planning signal, not a prediction. Confirm local hiring demand, wages, licensing, credentials, and employer adoption before making a career move.
Sources
Evidence trail
OECD / 11 July 2023OECD Employment Outlook 2023: Artificial Intelligence and the Labour MarketO*NET Resource Center / Database 31.0 (August 2026)Occupation, Task, Skill, and Work-Activity DataUS Bureau of Labor Statistics / May 2025 estimates (released 15 May 2026)Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics